Archive for the ‘Analysis’ Category

WESTERN CONFERENCE FINALS PREVIEW

Thursday, May 13th, 2010 Written by: Eric Sutter

The battle for the Clarence S. Campbell Bowl is set as the top two seeds survived and the San Jose Sharks will face the Chicago Blackhawks.

The usually disappointing Sharks have made their second Conference Finals and first since 2003-04. The Blackhawks on the other hand have now made back-to-back Conference Finals and their third since the NHL went to its current playoff format.

So let’s break this series down Pucking Awesome style.

No. 1 San Jose Sharks vs No. 2 Chicago Blackhawks:

It is the promise vs. the broken promises, so many years the Sharks have been favorites to make it to this round but have fell short, while the Blackhawks were chic pick in the preseason to make it this far.

It all comes down to the two teams that were separated by one point and clearly at the head of the Western Conference class, and it will be the year for one of these teams to make their long awaited appearance in the Stanley Cup Finals.

Offensively both of these teams are stacked as both teams have averaged three goals a game this postseason (CHI – 3.33 and SJ – 3.09) and have featured a very balanced scoring attack as both teams have had 13 different goal scorers this playoffs.

The re-emergence of Jonathan Toews (20 pts in 12 GP) and emergence of Joe Pavelski (15 pts in 11 GP) have paced these two offensive juggernauts.

The one thing to watch offensively is whether the Sharks can keep up with the speed of the Blackhawks who have just skated pass their last two opponents with their three shorthanded goals this postseason (13 shorthanded goals in the regular season).

The Sharks will have to continue their hot play on the PK also, as both teams have only allowed six power play goals all playoffs. 

Chicago beat San Jose three out of four games during the regular season including a 7-2 shellacking in Marian Hossa’s first game in a Blackhawks uniform in late November.

That game is the reason the Blackhawks outscored the Sharks 17-11 in the season series. 

The first goal was also significant in the season series as the team that scored first won each game and both teams have continued that through their current runs. 

The Sharks are a perfect 4-0 when scoring first and the Blackhawks are 6-1 when getting the all important first goal of the game. Both teams field top lines that can dominant a series with the likes of Joe Thornton, Patrick Marleau, Dany Heatley (29 combined points for the Sharks), and Jonathan Toews, Patrick Kane, and Dustin Byfuglien (41 combined points for the Blackhawks) manning those lines.

Defensively both teams have players who love to move into offense, especially on the power play. The Sharks top pairing is a perfect mix of skill and grit as Dan Boyle has bounced back from his own goal vs Colorado with two goals and 11 points and 38 shots.

His partner, the 6’3″ Douglas Murray, will be asked to contain the big bodies of Toews and Byfuglien in front of the net.

On the other side, Norris Trophy finalist Duncan Keith and his partner Brent Seabrook have combined for 14 points and +4 while giving the Blackhawks tough minutes (597:53 combined minutes this postseason).

The real development on the Blackhawks backline has been the surprising shorthanded shutdown duo of Brent Sopel and Niklas Hjalmarsson and I haven’t even mentioned Brian Campbell, who is a part of the five man rotation since moving Byfuglien back to winger.

Goaltending is where the Sharks might have the slight edge as Evgeni Nabokov has 76 career playoff starts to Antti Niemi’s 12.

Niemi is trying to follow the footsteps of Ken Dryden, Patrick Roy, and Cam Ward of rookie goalies to win the Stanley Cup.

Nabokov is trying to quiet the critics that have said that 34-year-old has come up small in big games with such a talented team in front of him. He is also playing for a contract as he is a free agent at season’s end. Nabokov has shown he can take over games against the Blackhawks. In the Sharks’ lone win against the Blackhawks this season, a 3-2 victory on Dec. 22, the Sharks were outshot 47-14.

Overall, the depth of both teams will be tested as both teams have three lines that can score. The Blackhawks have been amazing on the road this playoff with a 6-1 record while the Sharks are 5-1 at home, so something will change in that stat.

With that in mind, I predict a long series and now that my preseason Stanley Cup pick, the Canucks, are out, I think the Blackhawks will win this series in seven games. 

THE TOP SHELF: Top Scorers To Watch This Week

Tuesday, May 11th, 2010 Written by: Eric Sutter

So all you genius that had Michael Cammalleri in your playoff pools are looking pretty good right now, as the winger now sits atop the goal leaders alone with 11 goals in 13 games. The “Mule” Johan Franzen finally woke up this postseason with a four goal outburst in Game 4 vs Sharks, than bowed out afterwards. And Sidney Crosby finally scored his first goal of the Eastern Conference semifinals to tie him for the league lead in points. With those scorers in mind the Pucking Awesome Top Shelf, or snipers we have our eye on this week, breaks down some heavy action in both the Stanley Cup playoffs and upcoming Memorial Cup.

Game 7:

We have said it many times on this site that nothing is better in sports than a Game 7 do or die. Now the Candiens face their second consecutive game 7 when they travel to the defending Stanley Cup champions’ house on Wednesday. Scott Gomez has the most experience in Game 7’s with playing in seven in his career with a 5-2 record; he added his second career assist in these pivotal games in a 2-1 win over Washington. Ironically the leader in goals in these games is Andrei Kostitsyn, who had two goals in 2008.

The Penguins faced two game 7’s in their run towards Lord Stanley’s Cup last season winning both of them on the road (Capitals and Red Wings). Their last home Game 7 was a 1996 decisive loss to the Florida Panthers. They are led in goal scoring by Pascal Dupuis, Ruslan Fedotenko and Bill Guerin who all have three career goals in game 7’s.

Showing those stats tell you that usually a unheralded player comes through in the clutch for a team in these critical games like Maxime Talbot, who had two goals in the Stanley Cup clincher last year or like Dominic Moore and Marc-Andre Bergeron who had the only two goals in the massive upset of the Capitals. Keep one eye on the top players like Crosby, Malkin, Cammalleri and Gionta but don’t be surprises if a Jordan Staal, Matt Cooke, Maxim Lapierre or Benoit Pouliot ends up scoring the big goal.

Blackhawks Up:

The Blackhawks march towards back-to-back Western Conference Finals appearances has had a different feel about it and the biggest change has been Jonathan Toews reclamation as a big time player. Toews is tied with Crosby for the league lead with 19 playoff points and has 11 points in the series vs the Canucks. Though Patrick Kane has gotten most of the press around the league for his flashy goal scoring and smile, it had been the captain Toews lead by example that has driven this team to be one win away from the Western Conference Finals.

Remember this is a kid that was named the captain at 20-years-old becoming the third youngest ever to be named captain and he once scored three times in a shootout for the Canadian team in the 2007 World Junior Championships and was awarded Best Forward in this years Olympics. Toews has made a knack of coming up big in the biggest situations and will continue to as the Blackhawks march to their first Stanley Cup final in 18 years.

Memorial Cup:

The 2010 MasterCard Memorial Cup begins in Brandon on May 14. The teams this season are the host Brandon Wheat King, the WHL Champion Calgary Hitmen, the QMJHL Moncton Wildcats, and the OHL Champion Windsor Spitfires. The tournament will obviously put more pressure on predicted top draft pick Taylor Hall, playing for Windsor, but will feature other top Juniors scorer.

For the host Brandon, they will be led by Kings first pick, fifth overall Brayden Schenn, who followed a 99 point regular season with 19 playoff points in 15 games.

The Hitmen have two prolific scorers who were both fifth round picks, Brandon Kozun was picked by the Kings 179th overall in 2009 and had back-to-back 100 point regular seasons. Joel Broda, picked 144th overall in 2008 by the Capitals, had 39 goals this regular season and added 13 more in the Hitmen run towards the Ed Chynoweth Cup.

Moncton has been led in scoring by two mid-season pickups. Nashville’s 5th round pick in 2009 Gabriel Bourque, not related to Ray, but led all the QMJHL with 19 goals in the postseason and Kelsey Tessier, an Avalanche 4th round pick in 2008, who has 30 point in 21 games.

That brings us last but certainly not least Taylor Hall of the Windsor Spitfires. All the top prospect has done this postseason is lead the league in points (35 pts in 19 GP), dispatch Tyler Seguin, the other top prospect, in a head-to-head matchup and win the Robertson Cup as OHL Champions for the second straight season. Another top scorer to keep your eye on is the Devils 3rd round pick of 2008, Adam Henrique who lead the team with 20 goals and won the Wayne Gretzky 99 Award as the Most Valuable Player of the playoffs.

THE HAT TRICK: The March to the Final Four

Monday, May 10th, 2010 Written by: Eric Sutter

One team has punched their ticket for the Final Four, the San Jose Sharks, but there are three more spots out there.

Two more can be sewed up Monday as the defending cup champion Penguins look to dispatch the “Cinderella” Canadiens in Montreal, while the No. 6 seed Bruins try to not take a page out of the Blackhawks playbook (losing Game Five at home when up 3-1) and instead send the Flyers to the golf courses Monday in Beantown.

So three more spots is perfect for this week’s “Pucking Awesome Hat Trick,” or the top three things I am looking forward to this week.

No. 6 Seed Magic:

In the Eastern Conference, for two straight playoffs, the No. 6 seed has made it to the Eastern Conference Finals.

In 2008, the Philadelphia Flyers upset the No. 3 seed Washington Capitals and No. 1 seed Montreal Canadiens on their way to the Eastern Conference Finals.

While last season, the Carolina Hurricanes dispatched of the No. 3 seed Devils and No. 1 seed Bruins on their way to the Eastern Conference Finals.

Both teams eventually succumbed to the Pittsburgh Penguins, and this week I will be watching for history to repeat itself again, as the No.6 seed Boston Bruins are one game away from facing the Pittsburgh Penguins in the Eastern Conference Finals.

 So for all those NHL fans that do not have a team still playing, root for your team to finish No. 6 next season.

Comeback City:

The 1942 Toronto Maple Leafs and 1975 New York Islanders are the last two teams to come back from a 3-0 hole in a NHL playoff series.

Both of those team’s records will be tested this week as the Flyers aim to put their lure up there with the ranks of those miraculous teams.

But another comeback is in the works The Canucks took a giant leap towards coming back from a 3-1 deficit when they defeated the Blackhawks in Chicago on Sunday with a score of 4-1.

The scene now shifts to Vancouver for a historic Game Six.

One would think the momentum is on the side of Vancouver who will be playing at home, and that the Blackhawks will need to find someone other than Jonathan Toews to score goals (11 points in this series).

In the Eastern Conference, the Bruins have been ravaged by injuries in their quest for one more win, but have still been getting contributions from older and wiser heroes.

Mark Recchi, 42 years young, has three goals in this series. While 35-year-old Miroslav Satan also has three goals in this series, including the game-winner in the pivotal Game Three

As the Bruins IR list grows, they will need to keep depending on these unlikely heroes and good goal tending if they don’t want to be on the opposite side of what Boston’s own Red Sox did to the Yankees in 2004.

Calling All Americans:

I know most of the hockey world does not pay attention to the World Championships considering it is played during the most important time for the NHL, but come on America! LETS GO! 

The Americans, fresh off their Silver Medal showing in this year’s Olympics, have now dropped to 0-2 in the 2010 IIHF World Championships.

They lost to the host Germany in overtime, 2-1, in front of a record 77,803 crowd to open the tournament, and now they lost again, 2-1, in overtime to Denmark! 

This team has Scott Clemmensen in net instead of Ryan Miller, and offensively, they are led by Kyle Okposo and Brandon Dubinsky.  I am looking forward to this week as this team tries to salvage the preliminary round versus Finland, and continue their march towards medaling.

 

THE TOP SHELF

Tuesday, May 4th, 2010 Written by: Eric Sutter

Scoring a goal in the regular season is one thing, but scoring a goal in a must-win triple OT game for your season is another.  That is why here at Pucking Awesome we are bringing back the Tuesday Top Shelf column, or some top scorers around the NHL, AHL and Major Juniors.  Remember it was in this column last year that we introduced a young Tyler Myers, and he has become a major player in the race for the Calder. 

 

Surpise Leaders

The league leaders of lamp lighters in the post-season has some major surprise candidates; with Joe Pavelski (9 goals), Michael Cammalleri (8 goals), and Mikael Samuelsson (8 goals). 

The 25-year-old Pavelski, who already has the Sharks franchise record for goals in a single post-season, already was known as a goal scorer coming into the playoffs with 83 career goals in 275 games, but only had six career playoff goals in 25 games. 

One stat that stands out for the speedy center has been his knack to shoot the puck at opportune times as he is second in the league with 41 shots, if he continues to fire at this rate he will have led the Sharks into unfamiliar territory. 

Cammalleri was one of the prize free agent acquisitions as the Canadiens transformed their roster this offseason.  The 27-year-old broke out with 34 goals for the Kings in 2006-07 and again proved it not to be a fluke with a 39 goal campaign last year in Calgary. 

In only 65 games this season Cammalleri chipped in 26 goals in his first season of a five-year contract.  The 5’9″ winger also has a knack of scoring goals in the clutch. In the five Canadiens’ wins this post-season he has two game winning goals. In his career he has 24 career game winning goals.

Last, but certainly not least, is the Canucks Mikael Samuelsson who has moved on up to the Sedin’s line and has taken advantage of it.  The 33-year-old had a career high 30-goals this season, and that was with missing eight games in March.  The former Red Wing was not only brought in this offseason to bring some veteran Stanley Cup winning experience, but to give this team some secondary scoring past the Sedin’s, little did they know in the post-season he would combine with them for a Swedish elite line that has been one of the most productive lines so far.

 

Out of Nowhere

We have all heard of the stories of guys who came out of nowhere to become big playoff scorers.  John Druce, who scored 14 goals for the Capitals in the 1990 post-season, and Chris Kontos, who had 9 goals for the Kings in 1989 playoffs.  Well, the latest candidate is a former All-Star who did not sign with a team until after the new years.

Miroslav Satan was signed for the rest of the season on January 2nd . At that time he was just signed as a warm body to help an injury and goal deficient Bruins team.  The 34 year old was last seen skating with the Stanley Cup in Pittsburgh, even though he was relegated to the AHL that season.  Satan then played well in the Olympics for the surprising Slovaks, helping them to a fourth place finish. 

All the former 40-goal scorer has done is score big goals, as the Bruins are two wins away from the Eastern Conference Finals.  Of his four goals this post-season, two of them have been of the game winning fashion including an OT goal in a pivotal Game 4 victory over his former team, the Sabres.

 

Down on the Farm

The rich get richer. If there is any solace in the Capitals disappointing early exit is that down on the farm Hershey is building some pieces for the team to rebound next year.  The Bears have the top four scorers so far in the AHL Calder Cup Playoffs, including a former 7th round pick that could make some noise for the Capitals next season. 

Andrew Gordon was the 197th overall pick of the 2004 NHL Entry Draft, all he has done since was score goals for the Bears.  In the regular season the 23-year-old winger led Hershey with 37 goals and has followed that with a very successful playoffs with nine goals. 

Hershey has been so dominant that they have not played a game since they closed out a sweep of the Albany River Rats on April 29th , they still await their Eastern Conference Finals opponent.  Whomever it will be they will have their hands full of scorers to defend, so at least Capitals fans have that to look forward to.   

 

THE HAT TRICK: What To Watch For This Week In The NHL

Monday, May 3rd, 2010 Written by: Eric Sutter

It’s back and better than ever, the Pucking Awesome Hat Trick is back after a couple of month’s hiatus as I traveled the world to find the answers to life’s biggest questions.  The Stanley Cup Playoffs started off with a bang as we saw the top-3 seeds all fall in the Eastern Conference, road teams won 27 games the most ever in the first round and comebacks galore as a team trailing in the third period came back to win nine times. 

The first week of the second round we have already seen the surprising Canadiens steal home ice, Sharks exercising some earlier demons, and an OT thriller in Beantown.  Now let’s break it down Pucking Awesome Hat Trick style as we look examine the top three things I am looking forward to this week.    

SHARK ATTACK:

The ever scrutinized San Jose Sharks have quiet some skeptics by coming back from a 2-1 deficit to win a first round series and avoid a second straight 8 vs 1 upset.  Now they have stormed ahead to a 2-0 series lead over the veteran back-to-back Western Conference Champion Detroit Red Wings.  

I am not saying the series is over, but you have to be impressed on the way the Sharks have won both games and took care of home ice.  “Little” Joe Pavelski already has a Sharks franchise record with nine goals has stepped up in the absence of the other big three, but guess who scored the game winning goal in Game 2? 

None other than “Big” Joe Thornton, and it was assisted by mysteriously injured Dany Heatley.  I will be looking forward to see if this a sign of good things to come for the Sharks, who if they want to contend for the cup will need the likes of Thornton, Heatley and Pavelski to step up their game as their beards grow longer.

BRUINS CANADIENS FOR REAL:

Probably the biggest storyline to hit the Eastern Conference are the two teams from the lower half of the Northeast Division.  The Canadiens have been playing a successful model of sit back let our goalie dominant and pick a spot to score a key goal, led by Michael Cammalleri (8 goals this postseason). 

The Bruins have had the same formula with good special teams backed up by great goaltending.  The Canadiens have stolen home ice from the mighty defending Stanley Cup Champion Penguins, and seemed to have find a replacement for the injured Andrei Markov in the hot shot rookie PK Subban, while don’t you think the Pens wish Hal Gill was on their side of the ice? 

The Bruins rode a hot first period and ended the OT with a flurry and got the perfect Hollywood ending when Marc Savard scored the game winning goal in his first game back from a concussion.  I will be watching both of these Northeast underdogs and see if they are for real and can keep this magic carpet ride going as they both deal with major injuries (Markov and Marco Sturm). 

If you predicted a Canadiens vs Bruins Eastern Conference Finals please send me your lottery numbers for this week also.

CANUCKS DEPTH:

Many people were shocked when they saw the Canucks come storming out to beat the Blackhawks 5-1 on their home ice in Game 1, I was not one.  The Canucks were my pre-season pick for the Stanley Cup and for one reason; they have more depth than any team in the league.  Yes, the team they are matched up against are pretty close on paper but look at the stats this postseason. 

The Canucks in their first seven postseason games have had 14 different players score a goal; the Blackhawks in their first seven postseason games have 10.  18 different Canucks have a point, while the Blackhawks have only 14.  I will be looking forward to this matchup of depth players, we all know the main players in this series but we need to start to get to know the depth players as well. 

Also, a cool tidbit I saw about this series that I just had to mention was when Patrick Kane shook Roberto Luongo’s hand at the end of the classic Gold Medal game in Vancouver he was quoted as saying “I’ll see you in the playoffs.”  This matchup of Kane vs Luongo will also be fun to watch as Kane made Bobby Lou look silly last postseason and scored against him in that Gold Medal game.       

The Neutral Zone – Western Conference Playoffs Preview

Monday, April 12th, 2010 Written by: Phil

What’s up folks?  It’s been a WHILE since I’ve written for PA.  I did an Olympic Preview for this site under my old moniker ”5 for Friday”, but alas,  the rigors of working everyday in the TV business caught up to me…not to mention me not really digging the name for my column.  So now I debut “The Neutral Zone”, the weekly (or sometimes even bi/tri-weekly depending on the action) column in which I will give my own personal reflections on NHL happenings while ignoring my deep-rooted bias for the Washington Capitals (bias since 1993) and shoot straight from the hip.

Firstly, what an end to the NHL season!  The last playoff spot in the Eastern Conference being decided in a shootout was nothing short of high drama, as well as some of the more prominent individual awards, such as the Art Ross and “Rocket” Richard trophies, being decided on the final day.  But now the dust has settled, and it’s time for the business end of the NHL season…THE PLAYOFFS!  Let’s do a preview of the first round of the Western Conference Playoffs, with my series predictions:

 

#1 SAN JOSE SHARKS  VS.  #8 COLORADO AVALANCHE

2009-10 Head to Head: Tied, 2-2

For the 2nd consecutive season, the San Jose Sharks enter the Stanley Cup Playoffs as the top seed out West, and yet, one can only wonder if they’ve learned any lessons from last seasons 6 game capitulation at the hands on the Anaheim Ducks, in which they scored 10 goals and got shut out twice.  Lying in wait are the Colorado Avalanche, a team that was on fire until the Olympic Break, then sputtered down the stretch, and crawling into the playoffs thanks to the inconsistency of division rival Calgary Flames.

Key Players: San Jose’s Canadian Gold Medal Line of Patrick Marleau, Joe Thorton, and Dany Heatley will be counted on to lead the Sharks attack followed by Defenseman Dan Boyle, who accumulated nearly 60 points on the season.  Colorado will need goals from their young scorers Chris Stewart and Matt Duchene.  Ultimately Colorado’s chances in the series depend on the shoulders of G Craig Anderson.  The career minor leaguer was signed last summer and played in 71 games for the Avs, a team record, while posting a 2.64 GAA, .917 Save %, and 7 Shutouts.  Great numbers…but he seemed tired down the stretch.  Add to the fact that he’s never played in a playoff game makes things interesting…

X-Factors: Only one man for me in this series, and he plays for the Sharks: G Evgeni Nabokov.  Played in 71 games like Anderson, but recorded only 3 Shutouts.  Can be a great player, but surely we all remember how he blew up in the Olympics against Canada for Russia.  Is this of concern to Todd McLellan’s Shark team down the stretch?

Prediction: Sharks win…call it 4-5 games

 

#2 CHICAGO BLACKHAWKS   VS.  #7 NASHVILLE PREDATORS

2009-10 Head to Head:  Blackhawks 4 – 2

Central Division Rivals Chicago Blackhawks and Nashville Predators meet in the first round of the Stanley Cup Playoffs on the heels of two largely successful seasons for both franchises.  Nashville has qualified for the playoffs for the 5th time in 6 seasons, finishing 7th in the West with an even 100 points…which says something about the strength of hockey in the Western Conference!  Chicago had a stellar year, setting franchise records in wins (52) and points (112), while locking up key players Jonathan Toews, Patrick Kane to 5 year contract extensions and Norris Trophy candidate D Duncan Keith to a 12 year extension.  Both teams play excellent hockey, and there could be potential for one or two high scoring affairs during this series, although, it’s probably Chicago that will do most of the scoring in those games!

Key Players: For the ‘Hawks, It’s no secret that Toews, Kane, and Keith will be relied upon to spearhead their attack, but the key to their success has been balance.  And if the top guns misfire, it’s up to guys like Patrick Sharp and Kris Versteeg to pick up the slack.  Nashville had only 2 guys reach 20+ goals this season, Martin Erat (21), and surprise top scorer Patric Hornqvist (30).  If they want to win, those guys have to score.  Hornqvist tied for the team lead with 51 points.  How did this team get 100 points with such limited scoring?  Goaltending.  Pekka Rinne will start in goal, but they have a perfectly capable backup in Dan Ellis, who posted a .909 save % during the season (Rinne had .911%).  Shea Weber shoots the puck so hard that his own teammates are too scared to stand in front of the opposing goalie on Power Play’s!

X-Factors: If Chicago are to go deep into the playoffs, they will need their goaltending to step it up a notch.  Antti Niemi looks as though he’s secured the #1 sweater, although he only played in 39 games this season, while would-be starter Cristobal Huet played in 48, but only had a Save % of .895.  Doesn’t exactly bode confidence does it?  For Nashville, I’m plunking for Head Coach Barry Trotz.  Small payroll, limited scoring and talent, but will he find the correct line combinations to stifle the balanced scoring attack of Chicago.  Having the leadership of Captain Jason Arnott will also help out a little bit, who just returned after missing 8 games with a head injury.

Prediction: Chicago in 6

 

#3 VANCOUVER CANUCKS   VS.  #6 LOS ANGELES KINGS

2009-10 Head to Head:  Canucks 3-1

Vancouver enters the Stanley Cup Playoffs with enough scoring, grit, tenacity, and goaltending to make a surprise run in the Western Conference.  They have arguably the best 1st line in hockey with Alex Burrows complementing the Sedin twins.  Henrik Sedin won the Art Ross Trophy by amassing 112 points (29 G, 83A), beating his previous career high of 82 last season.  Daniel Sedin also notched a career high in points (85), while Burrows led the team with 35 goals.  Behind them is Ryan Kesler, who gained a lot of new fans, myself included, with his hard nose play in the Olympics, and he certainly can find the goal, notching 25 goals himself.  Mikael Samuelsson and Mason Raymond also reached the 25+ goal plateau.  Roberto Luongo had another excellent season, and will be boosted by rescuing Canada’s gold medal hopes in the Olympics in his “hometown”.  Standing in their way are the Los Angeles Kings.  Qualifying for the postseason for the first time since 2002, will the Kings be able to put up much of a fight against the favored Canucks.  Ryan Smyth was a great Free Agent pickup, as he gets in the face of goaltenders on the King PP, and notched up 22 goals.  Anze Kopitar is the superstar who will be counted on to change games in the Kings favor, while Wayne Simmonds and Captain Dustin Brown can score and grind out opponents.  Drew Doughty is the key man on the blue line.

Key Players: For Vancouver, look no further than Henrik Sedin.  The man is a magician with a puck and can find a player in any position on the ice, especially his brother Daniel. Los Angeles needs it’s own magician to counter, so step up to the plate Anze Kopitar.  Great scorer (34G, 81Pts), and great hands for the gifted youngster, but he was only a +6 on the season.  LA needs him to be better on the ice for them to have a chance to win.

X-Factors: For Vancouver, I’m going for Alex Burrows.  He led the Canucks with 35 goals, like I stated earlier on, but since the Sedin’s are more privy to making beautiful passes, it’s up to Burrows to continue to put the pucks in the net.  For Los Angeles, there can be only one candidate, and that’s Jonathan Quick.  Sure, he played great during the year and finished with 39 wins, but alarm bells have been ringing out in Hollywood.  He’s played 72 games this season, and down the stretch, had 5 chances to win his 40th game, but went 0-3-2.  Coach Terry Murray started Erik Ensberg in net to end the season in Colorado, and was rewarded with a 2-1 OT win.  Will Quick even start in the playoffs for the Kings?  Who knows…but what I do know is that the boy hasn’t won a game since March 22.

Prediction: The Kings might steal a game, or two…but the Canucks advance

 

#4 PHOENIX COYOTES   VS.  #5 DETROIT RED WINGS

2009-10 Head to Head:  Tied, 2-2

The two most interesting team stories in the 2009-10 NHL season square off in an unlikely playoff matchup.  Detroit floundered for much of the season, being on the outside looking in, and there was genuine concern that they would miss the playoffs!  However, after the Olympic Break, the team got healthy, and, wouldn’t you know it, started to win hockey games.  They have an intelligent coach in Mike Babcock, who overcame immense national pressure to mastermind the gold medal victory for Canada in February, and was able to rally this Wings team together, after a change in goal (more on that in a minute) to propel the Red Wings from 9th place to 5th in seemingly no time.  As for Phoenix, you can do nothing but tip your had to Dave Tippett’s hockey club.  From the brink of financial ruin and relocation, to the playoffs in less than a year, the Coyotes have been nothing short of a sensational sports story.  Of course the detractors point out how the team is successful while being owned by the NHL, but take nothing away from them.  On a side note, how funny would it be, if Phoenix won the Stanley Cup, to see Gary Bettman present the Stanley Cup to…HIMSELF?!?!?!?!?!

Key Players: Captain Coyote Shane Doan has the leadership and grit to rally his team around him and lead them further into the playoffs…should they get lucky, that is.  There are some goal scorers in the form of Lee Stempniak, Wojtek Wolski, and Radim Vrbata.  But their hopes lie solely on Ilya Bryzgalov.  The Russian netminder played 68 games this season, posting a 2.29GAA and .920 Save %.  Between him and backup Jason LaBarbera, Phoenix posted the 3rd best team GAA (2.34) and Save % (.919) in the entire NHL.  Detroit has the usual suspects in their line up: Henrik Zetterberg, Pavel Datsyuk, Nicklas Lidstrom, and Tomas Holmstrom to name a few.  They’ve all been there and done that.

X-Factors: The Forwards of Phoenix are my X-Factors?  Why?  Because who will score the timely goals for them?  They registered 211 goals during the season, which was 7th lowest in the NHL, and 2nd lowest amongst playoff teams; only the Boston Bruins scored fewer goals (196).  For Detroit, it’s G Jimmy Howard.  He played in just 9 NHL games before this season, but since taking the starting reins from Chris Osgood, he registered 37 wins, 2.26 GAA, and a .924 Save %.  The kid, however, is not playoff tested.  Will he handle the pressure?

Prediction: This is a tough one to call….Wings in 6.

 

Join me tomorrow as I preview the Eastern Conference.  Until then, take care!

WEEKEND WARRIORS – April 9-11

Friday, April 9th, 2010 Written by: Eric Sutter

The last weekend of the regular season has four Eastern Conference teams fighting for three spots and still seeding to be determined in both conferences.  This set up for one wild weekend and gut check time for some warriors and some much needed rest for others.  The biggest matchup this weekend is a home and home play-in series between the Philadelphia Flyers and New York Rangers.  Not only have these two teams’ division rivals both taken similar inconsistent paths to this mini playoff series so players from these games will be heavily featured in this week’s Weekend Warriors    

Teams with 2 games this weekend: Ducks, Thrashers, Bruins, Sabres, Blackhawks, Avalanche, Red Wings, Oilers, Panthers, Kings, Devils, Islanders, Rangers, Flyers, Penguins, Lightning, Capitals

FORWARDS:

Daniel Briere, Flyers C/W:  The big ticket free agent is having a subpar offensive season with 51 points in 73 games but has amazing career numbers against the Rangers, 33 points in 35 games.  The 32-year-old has been shifted from center to winger and back to center but lately has seem to regain a chemistry with Simon Gagne with 11 points in last 20 games (4G, 7A).  Briere will always be the ire of of Flyers fans for he is the highest paid player on the team and not the ice time leader or points leader but he could become a city savior if he has a big weekend to clinch the Flyers a playoff berth.

Henrik Sedin, Canucks C:  Can the 29-year-old Vancouver to the unthinkable and hold off the high scoring Alex Ovechkin and Sidney Crobsy to win the Art Ross Trophy.  The high scoring Swede has now broken the 100 point barrier for the first time in his career and leads Ovechkin by two points and Crosby by four but only has one game to the others having two this weekend.  If Sedin holds off the NHL poster children from winning their second Art Ross he will become only the second Swedish born player to win this award, the other Peter Forsberg who won it the 2003-04 season.

Blake Geoffrion, Wisconsin F:  The senior forward had a big decision to make last year, make the jump to the NHL and play for the Predators or come back and finish what he started, his decision has seemed to pay off.  The 6-2 captain has now led his Badgers to one win away from an NCAA Championship as his Wisconsin Badgers will face the Boston College Eagles in the NCAA Hockey Championship on Saturday. He could add a Hobey Baker to his resume as he led his team with 28 goals this season (2nd in the nation).  Geoffrion comes from an impressive hockey lineage. His dad Danny played for the Montreal Canadians and the Winnipeg Jets. His grandfather, Benny “Boom Boom” Geoffrion, is in the Hockey Hall of Fame for helping the Canadiens win six Stanley Cups. Most important will leave Wisconsin with his college degree as he is only the second of his family to accomplish that feat.

 

DEFENSE:

Zdeno Chara, Bruins:  The Boston Bruins defensive corp. has been ravaged by injuries, so much that they were force to dress three rookies in Thursday’s game vs the Sabres, but they still have the Big Z back there to keep things calm.  Fashioning a steel cage to protect his recently broken nose Chara will be huge for the Bruins as the still try to clinch a playoff spot with two games this weekend.  The Bruins offensive woes without Marc Savard have been highly publicized and Chara is third in the teams in points and has 10 points in his last 19 games.  With the injuries to the Bruins backline watch for his already inflated ice time to increase as the Bruins try to position themselves against a first round matchup vs Capitals.

Nicklas Lidstrom, Red Wings:  Lidstrom turns 40 at the end of April and already people are asking him the retirement question of which he is deflecting the decision until the conclusion of the Stanley Cup Playoffs.  The 6-time Norris Trophy winner needs one goal this weekend to allow him to reach double digit goals the 16th time in his 17 year career and one point to reach 50 points for the fifth straight season, but more importantly his Red Wings are still trying to position themselves for another deep playoff run. 

Brendan Smith, Wisconsin:  Sorry BC but you will get your due in the goalie section but this Wisconsin defensive unit is stacked and led by the high scoring Brendan Smith.  Smith is one of four Badger defenseman drafted in the first or second round and is their leader in points with 52 points.  The Junior Red Wings prospect had a career-best five assists in the NCAA Semifinals and now will  face one of highest scoring teams in the nation in the Championship game Saturday.

 

GOALIE:

Henrik Lundqvist, Rangers:  Most say goaltending becomes most important in the playoffs, and none more exemplifies this then the Rangers net minder.  Lundqvist has been a workhorse for the Rangers push to the playoffs, staring 15 straight games and has started 23 of the last 24 Rangers games, but more impressive he has shown minimal signs of slowing down.  The 28-year-old is 12-8-3 in those games and now faces a team he has had some success against as in 24 games against the Flyers he is 13-7-2 with a 2.88 GAA and 2 shutouts, get another donut or two this weekend and the Blue Shirts are in the playoffs.

Antti Niemi, Blackhawks:  You could of went with either this kid or the goalie situation in Washington for this pick but more pressure has seemed to fall of the shoulders of the 26-year-old Niemi.  This is mostly because the Blackhawks seemed to be more poise to win now making the Hossa move this offseason and the team make up.  Niemi has grabbed a strangle hold on the number one position and has started seven straight games and is currently on a five-game winning streak as the Blackhawks try to catch the Sharks for the top seed and home ice in the Western Conference.  They have two games verses possible playoff opponents this weekend first the visit the Avalanche and can concrete them into the eighth seed then finish up with division rival Red Wings.

John Muse, Boston College:  The Junior net minder has a National Championship to his name as a freshman and the school’s single-season record for saves (1,171; 2007-08) and now he is on the brink of leading the team to his second Championship in three years.  Muse had a decent regular season with an 18-8-2 record, 2.48 GAA and a .908 save percentage and will have to have a huge game for Boston College to defeat the offensive juggernaut that is Wisconsin.  

 

 

Weekend Warriors – April 1st

Thursday, April 1st, 2010 Written by: Eric Sutter

The calendar has flip to April and the playoff races are heating up, with only a few games remaining here at Pucking Awesome we wanted to introduce a new segment called the Weekend Warriors.  Next year it will be mostly focused towards fantasy, but with most leagues headed into their fantasy finals we will look at players that could impact the push to the playoffs.

Teams with 2 games this weekend: Ducks, Flames, Blackhawks, Avalanche, Stars, Red Wings, Oiler, Wild, Canadiens, Devils, Rangers, Flyers, Sharks, Canucks

Forwards to watch:

Jarome Iginla, Flames W:  The former Hart Trophy winner and captain of the Flames needs to have a big weekend as the Flames make or break weekend is here.  The Flames open up their weekend with a head-to-head matchup vs the team they are trying to catch in the standings, the Avalanche.  Iginla has been cold of lately with one goal in his last six games and one goal in his last 11.  Numbers those are not acceptable in both fantasy and a team fighting for their playoff lives.  Iginla needs a big weekend for the Flames who have two big matchups vs the Avs and Blackhawks.

Johan Franzen, Red Wings C/W: No one is hotter than the Mule, the power forward has nine goals and 15 points since his return from knee surgery.  The Red Wings have a pivotal matchup vs Nashville, a team who he has scored 11 career goals in 27 games, and out of conference matchup vs the goalie deficient Flyers.  The red hot Franzen should continue his current run as he gains momentum towards another huge playoffs (51 career playoff points in 63 games).

Marian Gaborik, Rangers W: The Rangers winger reached the 40-goal mark for the second time of his career this week, but more importantly has played 70 games this season.  Now comes the time of year that the Rangers paid full price for this off-season, and with two games against the Southleast basement dwellers Gaborik is poised to have a big weekend.  The Rangers play on the road vs the Lightning (25th in the league in GAA, 3.03) and the Panthers (20th in the league in GAA, 2.86) and Gaborik had seven points in his last six games and look for it to continue as the Rangers need these four points against inferior opponents.

Defenseman To Watch:

Kevin Bieksa, Canucks: The 28-year-old defenseman had a career year last season and has not been able to stay healthy this year including missing 27 games due to a lacerated leg.  Now finally healthy the mobile defenseman is playing 22 minutes a game as the Canucks have secured their playoff position.  The kid with the rocket shot (539 career shots) will be important this weekend and going forward for the Canucks back line.

Andrei Markov, Canadiens:  With games against two of the top scoring teams this weekend, Flyers (2.87 goals per game) and Sabres (2.86 goals per game) it was hard to argue that the goaltender might be the biggest person to watch for the Candiens, but the improve play of Markov will be more important.  With Montreal’s loss to Carolina on Wednesday it has brought them down to the pack of the five teams vying for the final three East playoff spots.  The 31-year-old defenseman has been steady force on the back line for a team torn between two goalies.  Markov has 12 points in his last 14 games but best of all he is a +11 in those games.  This all was after missing two games due to a lower body injury, the Canadiens will need their top d-man at his top shape as they push for the playoffs.

Dan Boyle, Sharks:  The 33-year-old defenseman seems to not be slowing down in the most important part of the season.  Boyle has six points in a four-game point streak as he climbs the scoring ranks for defenseman (15G-41A-56P).  The power play is where he has done most of his damage with six power play goals and 23 power play assists and special teams will be important in the Sharks two games on the road this weekend against the Wild and Avalanche.

Goalies To Watch:

Craig Anderson, Avalanche:  The career backup has finally been given the reigns and has thrived this season for the surprised Avs but has almost already doubled his career high in games played (67).  He seems to have hit a wall by winning only one of his last seven games, in those game he has an awful 4.25 GAA and even worst .857 save percentage.  With games against the Flames, as mentioned before the team chasing them, and high scoring Sharks (3.14 goals per game).  For the upstart Avalanche to even make the playoffs they need their top goaltender to get back to the goalie that has won a career high 36 games.

Martin Brodeur, Devils: The greatest goalie that has ever played needs to be on top of his game this weekend as the Devils try to chase down an Atlantic Division crown.  Brodeur has come on some hard luck lately only giving up 10 goals in his last four starts, but only one win to show.  In comes to Newark the also struggling but high scoring Blackhawks followed by one of the hottest team in the NHL, Carolina Hurricanes.  For the Devils to take one of the top three seeds in the East they need the great Marty Brodeur to prove he is not wearing down.

Antti Niemi, Blackhawks:  The 26-year-old Finnish net minder has seemed to be the choice for the Stanley Cup favorite Blackhawks, but it is really by default.  Money bags Huet gave up seven goals in his only start in the last couple of weeks, while Niemi is coming off a 21 save shutout vs the Wild.  So this weekend with games against two teams with more on the line (Devils and Flames) it will be impertinent for the rookie goaltender to secure his spot as the top goalie on one of the NHL’s top teams.      

 

       

USA Canada Top Moments

Saturday, February 27th, 2010 Written by: Eric Sutter

Before the big Gold Medal showdown between the Americans and Canadians let’s look back at some of the more memorable moments of the series.

1960 Squaw Valley Olympics

The “Forgotten Miracle” team wins 7 games in 10 days which includes a 2-1 win over Canada to capture first gold medal for US hockey, Canada got silver for 6-1 record

1996 World Cup of Hockey

USA def Canada in a best of three series, after going down 1-0 win last two games in Montreal. In 3rd and decisive game US down 2-1 score next 4 goals as Mike Ritcher named MVP of tournament.

2002 Salt Lake City Winter Olympics

Canada def USA 5-2 in Gold Medal Game clinches first Olympic gold medal in 50 years for the Canadian ice hockey team.

2004 U20 World Championship 

USA def Canada 4-3 in Gold Medal Games US team beats Canada team features current Olympians Sidney Crosby, Marc Andre Fleury, Dion Phaneuf, Ryan Getzlaf, Brent Seabrook and Mike Richards.

2007 U20 World Champions

Canada def USA 2-1 in Semifinals, game went to a 14 shooter shootout with current Olympian Jonathan Toews scoring the game winner.

2010 U20 World Championship

USA def Canada 6-5 in OT to win Gold Medal victory stops Canada six straight gold’s in U20 World Championships

2010 Vancouver Winter Olympics

 USA def Canada 5-3 to clinch top seed of tournament, Ryan Miller 42 saves

The Olympic Experience: From Special Correspondent Laura Borden

Wednesday, February 24th, 2010 Written by: Eric Sutter

SPECIAL CORRESPONDENT LAURA BORDEN:   VANCOUVER, British Columbia

Is it possible to even compare Olympic hockey to NHL hockey? I don’t think so. I’ll start with the superficial differences before exploring the question of whether NHL players should be playing in the Olympics. This year, the Olympic committee decided not to change the size of the rink for Olympic play. It remains NHL size, rather than the bigger size, better suited for the more open and quick style of European hockey.

There is no trapezoid behind the goalie, so good stick handlers, such as Martin Brodeur, supposedly gain an advantage. Finally, icings are called automatically with no touch-ups. But those rules don’t even start to compare to biggest difference I have noticed – the fans.

Even before entering the arena, there were mobs of fans draped in their country’s flags. Every fan was representing their homeland. Every fan was fully engaged in the game. There were no groups of people in business suits, trying to impress clients instead of watching the game. No one went for a walk in the middle of a period to take a break. And everybody screamed, rang their cowbells, and sat on the edge of their seats for the whole game. Don’t even think about leaving early to avoid the crowd!

It was amazing to be in the middle of such a super-charged atmosphere. As a supreme lover of hockey, this is the best environment one can hope for. The preliminary games have had the excitement of NHL conference final games. I can’t imagine what the finals will be like. Each player and fan is fighting with all their energy for the honor of their countries.

What would this be like without the NHL players? My opinion is that it would not be as entertaining to the casual fan. There have been a few ugly hits and injuries, but this would happen in any game. Is it worth sacrificing the excitement of the games for the perceived safety of the NHL players? I definitely don’t think so. The fans root for their countries, but I think they also appreciate the games more when they recognize more of the players. The NHL is the center stage for professional hockey. Current rivalries have translated to the Olympic stage. The promotions for today’s Canada/Russia game all show Crosby against Ovechkin. In the United States, we are familiar with this same matchup watching Pittsburgh versus Washington.

I interviewed some of the Philadelphia Flyers going to the Olympics before they traveled to Vancouver. They were all excited about the trip and couldn’t imagine a better honor than playing for their country. When I asked Kimmo Timonen about the differences between playing for Finland and the Flyers, he said about his Olympic team, “They speak in Finnish.” Ok, I probably could have figured that out. But he was proud of his team and keeps his medals at his Mom’s house. Chris Pronger keeps his medals in a bank vault, but being a previous winner doesn’t make this trip any less special, as he plays for the host country.

There has been a lot of debate about allowing NHL-ers to play in the Olympics. But remember, hockey is not the only sport that allows its professional athletes to compete for country in the Olympics. In fact, hockey was one of the last sports to allow professionals to compete. Professional hockey players have been able to participate in the Olympics since 1988, but they did not stop the NHL schedule for the Olympics until 1998 in Nagano, Japan (insert Soviet Union definition of “professional” and “amateur” here). By allowing these players, I feel that the fans are getting the highest quality of play.

The competitors have been staying in the Olympic Village and are living the true Olympic experience. This may cause a disruption in NHL play, but every team gets a well needed mid-season break. The level of play has been incredible and I can’t imagine it being as exciting if I didn’t know the familiar names of the players I see every night at the NHL games.

The Hat Trick: Breaking Down The Olympics

Monday, February 22nd, 2010 Written by: Eric Sutter

It was not quite the Miracle on Ice of the 1980’s but it was a big win for the Americans to defeat the Canadians in their home turf to secure the top seed of the Medal round, but before we can focus on the big dash toward gold comes the qualification round starting tomorrow.  So for this week’s Pucking Awesome Hat Trick we will break down the top eight teams and their chances at gold.

 

8.  Switzerland (1-1-1 in Group Play)

How They Got Here:

The Swiss team is led by a talented goalie in Anaheim Ducks Jonas Hiller and a dominant captain in New York Islanders Mark Streit.  Switzerland clinched the eight seed with a thriller 5-4 shootout win over Norway and can had a moral victory by taking mighty Canada to a shootout, but most likely will have to play the US team in the Medal Round. 

 Player to Watch:

Jonas Hiller got the big contract pre-Olympics and showing his worth by being the driving force for the Swiss team.  Hiller in the three group play games had a 3.20 GAA and .893 save percentage.  If they have a shot to upset any team in the medal round Hiller will have to be the main factor just like his predecessor Martin Gerber in the Swiss upset of Canada in 2006.

Chances to Medal:

Gold – 1 %

Silver – 5 %

Bronze – 7 %

 

 7.  Slovakia (2-1-0 in Group Play)

How They Got Here:

The Slovaks followed up an undefeated group play in 2006 with a inconsistent showing in group play.  They started the tournament with a tough 3-1 loss to the Czech but followed that a night later with an impressive shootout win over Russia.  Scoring winger Marian Gaborik, a question mark health wise heading into the Olympics, has been disappointing with only one goal.  Marian Hossa has paced the Slovaks with two goals and three points in the three games.  Jaroslav Halak has played all three games with an impressive 1.30 GAA and .915 save percentage.

Player to Watch:

Marian Gaborik injured himself in practice right before the Olympics, a thigh laceration that required stitches when he ran into teammate Henrik Lundqvist.  One could call it sabotage to try to decrease the medal chances for Slovakia, cause the talented scorer needs to be dominant if the Slovaks want to finish on the podium.

Chances to Medal:

Gold – 10%

Silver – 15%

Bronze – 20%

 

6.  Canada (2-1-0 in Group Play)

How They Got Here:

The Canadians already had pressure coming into an Olympics on their home turf and a team some experts called the most talented team ever, but now the pressure is 10 folds knowing the route they will have to go to get to the gold medal game.  The team survived a flashback scare by beating the Swiss in a shootout but could not hold back the young Americans in a 5-3 loss.  The sixth seed Canadians now will have to most likely play the Russia’s in the quarterfinals.  

Play To Watch:

Roberto Luongo would be the easiest choice since because of Brodeur’s  subpar numbers in group play caused coach Mike Babcock to make a switch of goaltenders for the medal round.  With that in mind I will go with Joe Thornton, the power forward who only has one point in three games.  What made this Canadian team scary to play against was the familiarity that many teams do not have as they took the entire Sharks first line, and throw Dan Boyle on the power play and they have four fifths of one of the top rated power plays.  The team is getting production from Thornton’s teammates Dany Heatley and Patrick Marleau but need Big Joe to finally come through in a big game.

Chances to Medal:

Gold – 75%

Silver – 80%

Bronze – 85%

 

5.  Czech Republic (2-1-0 in Group Play)

How They Got Here:

The Czech team is a hard team to figure out as they have only a +3 goals differential, the closest by any of the top six teams.  They have spread out the scoring wealth and surprisingly are led in scoring by defensemen Marek Zidlicky (5 assists).  They had a huge win over the rival Slovaks but fell up short in their quest for a bye by losing a hard fought game against the Russians and I don’t think Jaromir Jagr has gotten up from the Alex Ovechkin hit yet.

Player to Watch:

David Krejci has only one goal in these Olympics, but has looked like the best player on the ice for the Czech team.  Head coach Vladimir Ruzicka will have to think heavily about moving the speedy center to top line minutes, maybe with a Patrick Elias (2G-2A) and Jagr (2G-1A).

Chances to Medal:

Gold – 15%

Silver – 45%

Bronze – 50%

 

4.  Finland (2-1-0 in Group Play)

How They Got Here:

The Finnish team has quietly put up a good Olympic showing, maybe it is because most of their games were pass midnight east coast time.  Teemu Selanne became the most prolific scorer in Olympic history with his two assist, the Finnish Flash in his fifth Olympics has 37 career Olympic points.  Playing in an easier group they took care of business beating Belarus and Germany by the combined score of 10-1, but failed to capture the third seed by getting shutout by rivals Sweden.  

Player to Watch:

Top defensive pairing of Kimmo Timonen and Sami Salo have already played a combined 139.17 minutes, and 18 shots this tournament and that is against lesser of talent.  These two defenders will be relied on heavily as the competition get fiercer and now with news that Joni Pitkanen will be suspended for one game the pressure on these two intensifies as the Finnish team looks to medal in back-to-back Olympics.

Chances to Medal:

Gold – 20%

Silver – 40%

Bronze – 45%

 

3.  Russia (2-0-1 in Group Play)

How They Got Here:

The high flying Russians with 13 goals for were only outscored by the Canadians and Americans (each with 14 goals).  Alex Ovechkin has not only been a point machine (4 points) but has been handing out bone crunching game changing hits.  Evgeni Malkin, has also not disappointed by leading the Russians in both goals (3) and points (5).  The only thing keeping the Russians from the top seed was a surprising 2-1 shootout loss to the Slovaks that saw Alex Ovechkin take two of the four shots taken.

Player to Watch:

Alex Ovechkin has continued his dominant play from the NHL into the International stage and would be the obvious choice on the player to watch for Russia to not only beat Crosby and the Canadians but to win the gold, but I think it will come down to the play of goaltender Evgeni Nabokov.  The Kazakhstan native who petitioned to play for the Russia team was the reason they won the gold in the 2008 World Championships and will have to be the difference maker in their quest for gold.

Chances to Medal:

Gold – 70%

Silver – 75%

Bronze – 80%

 

2.  Sweden (3-0-0 in Group Play)  

How They Got Here:

I think people forget that the Sweden team is the defending Gold Medalist as they went through group play undefeated and loss out on the top seed by a tie breaker.  The main reason they won the gold in Turino is the same reason they went undefeated as goalie Henrik Lundqvist has yet to allow a goal in these Olympics in two starts including a big shutout of group rival Finland.

Player to Watch:

As much as I want to select Peter Forsberg since he was not able to help the Swedes win gold in 2006, or go with the goaltender who seems like a brick wall right now, but I will pass the pressure to Daniel Alfredsson.  The 37-year-old forward was the key offensive component in Turino with 5 goals and 5 assists in the 8 games.  Alfredsson will have to come up big again for the Swedes to repeat as champions.

Chances to Medal:

Gold – 80%

Silver – 85%

Bronze –  90%

 

1.   United States (3-0-0 in Group Play)    

How They Got Here:

The youngest team in the tournament has made some noise by capturing the top seed in group play.  They came out firing in this tournament with a dominant 3-1 win over the defensive Swiss and shocked the hockey world with a 5-3 win over Canada.  Ryan Miller has stopped 66 of the 71 shots he has faced and Brian Rafalski, of all people, has scored four goals in the three games, tying Dany Heatley for the Olympic lead in group play.

Player to Watch:

No one will deny that Ryan Miller is a main reason that the USA team defeated Canada and clinched the top seed, and Rafalski’s scoring magic is the other top reason, but the continuing aggressive play of Ryan Kesler, I think will be the difference maker as the tournament goes on.  Watching the US Canada game one would of thought it was game 7 of the Stanley Cup Finals the way the teams were hitting each other.  In the end it came down to an empty net aggressive play by Vancouver Canucks forward Ryan Kesler.  For the Americans to match up against the quick forwards of Finland, Sweden and Russia they will need to rely on a physical presence to slow them down and the likes of Kesler, Dustin Brown, Ryan Malone and Brooks Orpik will become more important.

Chances to Medal:

Gold – 72%

Silver – 82%

Bronze – 87%    

THE HAT TRICK WEEK 20: Olympic Preview

Sunday, February 14th, 2010 Written by: Eric Sutter

With the opening ceremonies done and the last NHL games being played, I must remind you that the Olympic break is not a break from hockey.

It doesn’t’ matter what your opinion is on the subject of the NHL taking a break during the season, the next couple of weeks will give the hockey fan some exciting action.  The Swedes are the defending champions winning the tournament in Torino after defeating the Finnish team in the gold medal game, while the Czech team won the bronze medal game over the Russians. Now let’s get to the Pucking Awesome Hat Trick or the top three story lines I will be watching in Vancouver.

Home Ice Advantage:

The pressure is always on Canada to win gold but none more apparent when the team is the host country. After a gold medal performance in the 2002 games in Salt Lake City, the Canadians fell to a dismal seventh place finish last year in Torino. Steve Yzerman is the executive director this season and has put together a formable 23-man team—not including taxi-squad.

Who will mind the nets will be the biggest question heading into the games.  Martin Brodeur is having a bounce-back year and has been the man in the previous two Olympics. While, home-town hero Roberto Luongo got to see two contests in last Olympics, many think it is his time to shine and lead Canada to the golden promise land.

This year’s squad is filled with past winners who know what it takes to go through a tournament like this as a champion. In fact only Duncan Keith on the current roster is the only Canadian player that has not won either a Stanley Cup or a gold medal at the Olympics, World Championships, World Juniors or World Cup of Hockey.  In other words, this team is loaded for a big run in front of the home crowd.

U.S. Youth Movement:

When Brian Burke, Team USA General Manager, was putting together his squad for this years Olympics, his thought had to be, give the young kids a chance.

The 2010 team is comprised of 17 players yet to reach their 30th birthday and 13 that are 25-or-younger. Although no word has come out if the NHL will compete at Sochi in 2014, it seems that Burke is planning for the future, having only three players with previous Olympic experience on the roster (Brian Rafalski, Chirs Drury and Jaime Langenbrunner). 

What if the future is now for the United States?  Can this team of upstarts and youth follow the path of the most famous US Olympic team? The 1980 team was of course amateurs, thus young guys trying to go up against the mighty Russians. This year’s team will not be favored to medal but does have a strength in the most important position needed in a short tournament, goaltending.

The rise of Ryan Miller to a top goaltender in the NHL has been steadily, and good news for Team USA. The East Lansing native was passed over in 2006 for the likes of Robert Esche and John Grahame on his way to the taxi-squad for that team.

Flash forward to four years and it is almost laughable that those two made it over Miller, who this season has been near the top of all NHL goaltending categories. The 29-year-old Miller will be the key to US success, although US and Sabres fans hope that fatigue does not set in. Miller has played in 52 of the Sabres 60 game so far this season.

The Other Teams:

We can’t forget that the Swedes won the tournament, the Slovaks went undefeated in Pool play last time, the Russians are stacked offensively, and we will have a Jaromir Jagr sighting for the Czech’s. So many storylines surround the ice of the Olympics.

The Swedish Olympic team has brought back 13 of 23 players from the gold medal team. That will include Olympic hero Peter Forsberg but not team leader Mats Sundin, who had eight points in the eight games played in 2006. They will be backstopped by Henrik Lundqvist again. Lundqvist posted five wins and a 2.33 goals-against average in Torino.  With the Sedin twins up front, with Henrik Zetterberg, Daniel Alfredsson—who had ten points in last Olympics—and break out star Nicklas Backstrom, the Swedes are primed to defend their Olympic gold.

Alex Ovechkin not only captured the Calder Trophy his rookie year but exploded on the Olympic scene with five goals in Russia’s fourth place finish. All Alex the Great has done since his rookie year is score 209 goals and dominant the sport of hockey.

Combine Ovechkin with the scoring likes of Iyla Kovalchuck—329 career goals in 600 GP), Evgeni Malkin (368 points in 296 GP), and Pavel Datsyuk (571 career points in 585 GP) and you will have a frightening offensive attack. Not to mention that Ovechkin’s teammate Alex Semin is having a breakout season with 30 goals and 65 points already. And don’t forget Sergei Federov is on the Russian roster. 

Speaking of former NHL stars playing in the Olympics, these games will give us a chance to see Jaromir Jagr against NHL players.  he 37-year-old former NHL MVP left the league in 2008 to play for the KHL where he has 95 points in 104 games played for Omsk Avanguard. It will be interesting to see this talented player amongst NHL players again.

5 for Friday – Olympic Edition

Friday, February 12th, 2010 Written by: Phil

Hello, fellow Hockey fans!

I am delighted to be the newest blogger to join Pucking Awesome, and I will be blogging every Friday with my “5 for Friday” column, where in addition to my musings about the sport, as well as a somewhat uncool play on the phrase “5 for Fighting”, I will have a “Top 5 of” whatever I choose to discuss each week.  The upcoming week signifies the beginning of the Winter Olympic Men’s Ice Hockey tournament, which promises to be ultra exciting.  Everybody is picking a Canada-Russia Gold Medal game, but will there be a surprise challenger in the midst of it all?  I’ll briefly break down the competing teams below, and then at the end of the column, give you the Top 5 Storylines of the Winter Olympic Ice Hockey tournament to watch out for.

 

GROUP A (OR GROUP EH?)

CANADA

Key Players: Sidney Crosby (Pittsburgh Penguins), Roberto Luongo (Vancouver Canucks), Dan Boyle (San Jose Sharks)

Outlook: Is there ever been more pressure on a Canadian team to win the Gold Medal than the current incarnation?  Home country, the best Canadian NHL players on the roster, and a stiff challenger ahead in the Russians; it’s almost mind boggling.  I could’ve listed every Canadian on the roster as a key player, but I settled for those three.  Roberto Luongo will be under the most pressure out of all the players, being the Captain of the Canucks, and being required to backstop his country to Gold Medal glory, which means that the Vancouver and the CANADIAN media will be all over him like white on rice.  I don’t envy being Mr. Luongo for the next couple of weeks, that’s for sure.  Not that Canada are too worried…should he slip up, Martin Brodeur is there to back him up, who’s pretty darn good, so I’ve heard. I like the balance in the Canadian team.  There are two solid scoring lines, and two good checking lines, with guys like Mike Richards and Brendan Morrow in the squad.  It shows you how deep the Canadian’s are that they can leave guys like Jeff Carter of the Flyers off the roster.

Prediction: Silver Medalists

 

UNITED STATES

Key Players: Zach Parise (New Jersey Devils), Patrick Kane (Chicago Blackhawks), Phil Kessel (Toronto Maple Leafs), Ryan Miller (Buffalo Sabres)

Outlook: This is a scrappy American team who are looking for another, pardon the cliche, Miracle on Ice.  Only instead of Herb Brooks, we (I am American) have Ron Wilson and Brian Burke running the show.  The two men are also the brain trust of the floundering Toronto Maple Leafs, so it’s no surprise that Phil Kessel made the roster, as did Mike “Cement Skates” Komisarek before he went down to injury.  There are some holes on the team though, that will prevent the US from winning gold.  Outside of Kessel, Parise, and Kane, who will provide the secondary scoring for the Americans?  David Backes of the St. Louis Blues had 31 goals last season, but currently only has 13 in 57 games.  Ryan Callahan isn’t really a bonafide goal scorer, but can put in a solid shift, while his NY Ranger teammate Chris Drury has done little more than fade into a shadow of the player he once was.  And is Brooks Orpik really Olympic material?  The only way I can see the USA putting up a fight is with goaltending.  Tim Thomas is backing up Tukka Rask in Boston these days, so the onus is on Ryan Miller to stand on his head each night and single handedly win the US some games.  NHL Wins leader Jonathan Quick of the Kings is waiting in the wings.

Prediction: The USA put up a valiant fight, but do not medal.  I see a quarterfinal exit looming

 

SWITZERLAND

Key Players: Jonas Hiller (Anaheim Ducks), Mark Streit (NY Islanders)

Outlook: Switzerland enter the tournament with very few NHL players, but do not overlook them.  Jonas Hiller is a quality goalie, good enough to run former Stanley Cup winner Jean-Sebastien Giguere out of Anaheim.  Should Hiller get hurt, former Ottawa Senator Martin Gerber will back him up…YIKES!!!  Mark Streit is a solid defenseman with the NY Islanders, and isn’t intimidated by the challenges ahead.  On the scoring side, former Calgary Flame/Atlanta Thrasher Hnat Domenichelli is a point scoring star in the Swiss league, and he’ll be backed up by Andreas Ambuhl of the Hartford Wolf Pack.  Yes, their second leading scorer plays in the AHL.  My lip is quivering!

Prediction: They probably will win only one game, but don’t be shocked if Hiller steals a win off of the US for the Swiss.

 

NORWAY

Key Players: Patrick Thoresen (Salavat Yulaev – KHL), Ole-Kristian Tollefsen (Detroit Red Wings)

Outlook: Admittedly, I know nothing of the Norwegian team.  Tollefsen is a penalty minute magnet, while Thoresen was last seen in the NHL nearly getting his balls blown off by a Mike Green slapshot.  Nowadays, he’s averaging nearly a point-per-game in the KHL, so he should be the main scoring threat.  In goal, Ruben Smith seems to be the only goalie on the Norwegian roster to post a save percentage about .870 whenever he suits up for the Norwegian team!

Prediction: Ruffle some feathers, but exit early.

 

GROUP B:

RUSSIA

Key Players: Alexander Ovechkin (Washington Capitals), Pavel Datsyuk (Detroit Red Wings), Evgeni Malkin & Sergei Gonchar (Pittsburgh Penguins), Evgeni Nabokov (San Jose Sharks)

Outlook: Russia, just like Canada, posses a SCARY line up!  They contain the most dymanic player in the world (Ovechkin), as well as fantastic secondary scoring (Malkin, Datsyuk, Ilya Kovalchuk, Alexander Semin).  The roster is littered with lots of KHL players as well; those Penguin fans out there will remember Alexsey Morozov, who had one solid year with the Pens, returned to Russia after the NHL lockout, and is now averaging nearly 1.5 points-per-game in the KHL the last three seasons.  Gonchar and Andrei Markov of the Canadiens will make a solid first line defense paring, and I am really scared for any team that gives Russia a power play opportunity.  They’ve got solid goaltending, with Nabokov and Ilya Bryzgalov backing him up, who’s been lights out this season in Phoenix.  What’s stopping this team from winning the Gold Medal?  Perhaps the lack of depth, but we shall see.  Viktor Kozlov has one good game, and then takes 3 or 4 off (us Capital fans can attest to that), and Sergei Federov can put in a solid two-way shift and offer defensive help as well, even though he’s older than dirt!  Any Nashville Predator fans watching can get another chance to “cheer” on their favorite whipping boy, Alexander Radulov.

Prediction: I really wanted to pick Canada for the gold, but this is an Olympic tournament, not the NHL, so Chris Pronger will not be allowed to freely throw his elbows around.  Russia win the Gold Medal

 

CZECH REPUBLIC

Key Players: Patrik Elias (New Jersey Devils), Martin Havlat (Minnesota Wild), Jaromir Jagr (Avangard Omsk – KHL), Tomas Kaberle (Toronto Maple Leafs), Tomas Vokoun (Florida Panthers)

Outlook: The Czechs have plenty of NHL experience on their roster, including players on the team who used to play in the league (Jagr, Josef Vasicek, Petr Cajanek), and solid scoring with the forwards and some of the D-men.  Jagr returns to North America to showcase his limitless talents, especially when the Czech’s go on the power play, but the goaltending for me is a concern.  You’re not really going to win the Gold Medal with both your goalies coming from the NHL’s Southeast Division (Vokoun & Ondrej Pavelec), but don’t underestimate the Czechs.  They have the ability to beat any team on their day.

Prediction: I initially wanted to say Bronze medalists, but I’m not sold.  4th place at best, although Slovakia or Sweden will have something to say about that.

 

SLOVAKIA

Key Players: Marian Gaborik (New York Rangers), Zdeno Chara (Boston Bruins), Marian Hossa (Chicago Blackhawks), Jaroslav Halak (Montreal Canadiens)

Outlook: Man, are the Slovaks a solid bunch of players or what.  They can score bunches when Gaborik and Marian Hossa are on the ice, and they’ve got Chara and Lubo Visnovsky marshaling the blue line, while Halak has been a revelation in goal for the Canadiens this season thus far, so much that there have been rumors of Montreal supposedly looking to jettison Carey Price out of town.  There are loads of NHL experience on the roster, but from either average players (Marcel Hossa, Jozef Stumpel, Lubos Bartecko anyone?) or guys who used to be good goal scorers once upon a pre-lockout-time (Ziggy Palffy, I’m looking straight at you).  And seriously…Milan Jurcina???  Don’t even get me started

Prediction: They lose the Bronze Medal game to Sweden.

 

LATVIA

Key Players: Karlis Skrastins (Dallas Stars), Oskars Bartulis (Philadelphia Flyers)

Outlook: Again, similar to Norway, I know very very little of the Latvians.  Their so-called best forward plays for the Binghampton Senators (Kaspars Daugavins), and they have a defenseman (Arvids Rekis) plays for a team called GRIZZLY ADAMS WOLFSBURG!!  Yes, a German team that’s named after THAT Grizzly Adams.  I hope that gets brought up at some point during the coverage.

Prediction: Latvia make up the numbers, but come on, how can they beat anyone in this tournament?  They battle with the Germans for last place.

 

GROUP C:

SWEDEN

Key Players: The Sedin Twins (Vancouver Canucks), Henrik Zetterberg & Nicklas Lidstrom (Detroit Red Wings), Nicklas Backstrom (Washington Capitals), Henrik Lundqvist (New York Rangers), Douglas Murray (San Jose Sharks)

Outlook:  The Swedes are solid from top to bottom, and realistically, they are the only nation that I can foresee preventing a Canada-Russia Gold Medal game.  Of course, part of that depends on Henrik Lundqvist.  When he’s on his game, the Rangers goalie can be arguably the best in the world.  Last season in the playoffs, he frustrated the free scoring Alexander Ovechkin enough to get inside of Ovechkin’s head, which I’ve never seen a goalie do before.  And speaking of shutting down Ovechkin, that responsibility will fall to Douglas Murray, should Sweden encounter Russia.  Ovechkin likes to hit, but doesn’t like to BE hit, and Murray seems to be the only player in the league that loves to hit Ovechkin all the time.  That should be a battle.  On the scoring side, The Sedins…everyone knows about them already, but the wild card here is Nick Backstrom.  The Capitals head coach Bruce Boudreau got inside Backstrom’s head earlier this season and told him to SHOOT more, and the results have been devastating.  Backstrom already has a new career high in goals (26 at time of writing), and it’s not even the 2nd week of February.  He’s one of the top 5 passers in the NHL, and now you can almost add 30 goal scorer to that list.  He’s an excellent complimentary player to the roster.  And then there’s the ancient Peter Forsberg, who’s always dangerous with the puck.  But how well will he play in these Olympics?

Prediction: They win Bronze

 

FINLAND

Key Players: Teemu Selanne (Anaheim Ducks), Mikko Koivu (Minnesota Wild), Valtteri Filppula (Detroit Red Wings), Olli Jokinen (New York Rangers), Kimmo Timonen (Philadelphia Flyers), Miikka Kiprusoff (Calgary Flames)

Outlook: The Finns can be dangerous, but I’m worried about their depth in defense, which I fear could lead to them leaking goals.  Not a ton of goal scoring, although look for Koivu to lead the Finnish attack.  Olli Jokinen has been an enigma everywhere he’s played, and I don’t really trust him to consistently produce, but he could prove me wrong, although I don’t really count on it.  Kimmo Timonen is a terrific shutdown defenseman in front of the key man for the Fins, Miikka Kiprusoff.  The outstanding Flames goaltender is good, but players a lot better when you play solid D in front of him.  And I’m sorry, but guys like Lasse Kukkonen and Sami Lepisto don’t really scare me!

Prediction: If this was 2006, I’d say they challenge for Bronze.  But this isn’t, so I say maybe 5th place.

 

BELARUS

Key Players: Sergei and Andrei Kostitsyn (Montreal Canadiens), Ruslan Salei (Colorado Avalanche), Mikhail Grabovski (Toronto Maple Leafs)

Outlook: The surprise 2002 4th place finishers didn’t qualify for the 2006 games, but return to the Vancouver games looking to similarly shock the world yet again.  Will it happen?  Not likely, but they will not be a push over, that’s for sure.  Grabovski spearheads the attack on the back of a nice 20 goal season last year for the Leafs, although this year he is struggling with just 7 tallies to his name.  The Kostitsyn’s can be solid players when they’re not hanging around Montreal with European gangsters!

Prediction: Maybe they will beat Germany in the prelim’s, but that’s about it.

 

GERMANY

Key Players: Marco Sturm (Boston Bruins), Christian Ehrhoff (Vancouver Canucks), Dennis Seidenberg (Florida Panthers)

Outlook: Former NHLer Uwe Krupp will be head coach of Die Mannschaft in the Vancouver Games, with a limited amount of talent on the roster.  Marco Sturm, he who scored the winning goal in the 2010 NHL Winter Classic, will be required to lead the way in the goal scoring department.  And let’s be honest here, he’s not a GREAT goal scorer; he’ll get you about 20-25 a season, but not an ideal first line forward.  They will struggle on all 3 phases of the game.

Prediction: Maybe one tie at best for the Germans.

 

 

And now without further ado, the TOP 5 STORYLINES OF THE WINTER OLYMPIC ICE HOCKEY TOURNAMENT:

1.  How well will the Canadian team handle the pressure from the media and Canadian citizens?  No team at the Vancouver games will be under a bigger microscope than Canada.  And no athlete’s every move will be more scrutinized than Roberto Luongo, regardless of how hard the American media big up’s Lindsey Vonn.

2.  How infuriated will American hockey fans be at NBC’s coverage of the games?  Put it this way: NBC already bumped off the February 21 match between Canada and the USA off of regular NBC and put it on MSNBC to show figure skating.  Really?  It’s bad enough that they only market 4-5 NHL teams on their weekly games as it is.  Every game during the 2009-2010 NHL season on NBC has featured the Red Wings or Penguins.  I’m just saying…

3.  Forsberg and Jagr:  The former magicians of the NHL world return to the North American hockey spotlight after playing the last few seasons overseas in Sweden and Russia respectively.  They are older, but do they still have the talent to inspire their nations to glory.  Or an even better question, do they NEED to inspire their nations, or can they just sit back and contribute.

4.  Does Russia have the depth?  They first two lines are solid as can be, and their top defensive pairing of Gonchar and Markov, should they play together, will be unbeatable.  But what about the rest of the team?  Do they have the goaltending to win the Gold?  Can the KHL players hold their own against the world’s elite?  I predicted Gold for Russia, but will Canada (or even Sweden?) prove me wrong?

5.  Television ratings in the US.  If enough people watch the games here (you know Canada will already get the audience), will the prompt a rethink from NHL commissioner Gary Bettman to allow NHL players to participate in the 2014 Winter Olympics in Sochi, Russia?  Prominent Russian players like Evgeni Malkin and Alexander Ovechkin have already said that they’re risk long term NHL suspension to play for their country on home soil in 2014.  Do high TV ratings in the US for hockey help to better Ovechkin and Malkin’s case?  If you think the Canadian antipathy towards the Russians in these games will be bad, could you imagine 4 years from now when the script is flipped?

 

In the meantime, enjoy the Winter Olympics, and I’ll be back next Friday with another edition of 5 for Friday.

 

~Phil